TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SC Freiburg vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Volume:
$1,326,614
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the Bundesliga match between SC Freiburg and Bayer 04 Leverkusen scheduled for March 7, 2026. Three markets track the outcome: whether Freiburg wins, whether Leverkusen wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Polymarket and Kalshi employ identical resolution logic: match outcome determined after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.
Primary resolution logic:
Official Bundesliga statistics (bundesliga.com); credible reporting consensus if official stats unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusionCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties)
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes: SC Freiburg win, Bayer 04 Leverkusen win, or draw
- If match is postponed, all markets remain open until the rescheduled match is completed
- If match is canceled entirely with no make-up game: Freiburg win market resolves No, Leverkusen win market resolves No, draw market resolves Yes
- Resolution uses official governing body statistics as primary source; consensus of credible reporting used if official stats not published within 2 hours of match conclusion
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open and unresolved until the rescheduled match is completed and a result is determined.
- Match Cancellation Without Rescheduling: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game scheduled, the Freiburg win and Leverkusen win markets resolve to No, while the draw market resolves to Yes.
- Official Statistics Delay: If official Bundesliga statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, resolution may use consensus of credible reporting from established sports news sources.
- Scope of Play: Resolution considers only the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from resolution scope.
Timing:
Resolution occurs after the match concludes (90 minutes plus stoppage time) on March 7, 2026, with official statistics expected within 2 hours of match end.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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