TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$218,201,443
24H TRANSACTIONS:
527,797,601
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,191,873,651
500,842
Markets across
13,663
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,809
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Red Bull Bragantino
Volume:
$325,340
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers three linked prediction markets on the professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer match between SC Corinthians Paulista and Red Bull Bragantino scheduled for February 12, 2026. Markets predict the final outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time: whether Corinthians wins, Bragantino wins, or the match ends in a draw.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Cancellation and postponement handling differs between platforms. Kalshi provides no explicit guidance on these scenarios, while Polymarket specifies distinct outcomes for postponement (market stays open) versus cancellation (draw resolves Yes, wins resolve No).Hero Tip:
Monitor CBF announcements for any postponement or cancellation notices. If the match is canceled, Polymarket's draw market will resolve Yes while win markets resolve No, creating a potential arbitrage opportunity. Kalshi's resolution path in cancellation scenarios is unclear and should be clarified before settlement.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Three separate markets: (1) Draw market resolves Yes if game ends in draw OR is canceled entirely with no makeup game; (2) Bragantino win market resolves Yes only if Bragantino wins, No if canceled; (3) Corinthians win market resolves Yes only if Corinthians wins, No if canceled. All markets remain open if postponed. Resolution scope: first 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
- Kalshi: Three markets with identical structure: (1) Tie market resolves Yes if match ends in tie; (2) Bragantino market resolves Yes if Bragantino wins; (3) Corinthians market resolves Yes if Corinthians wins. No explicit cancellation or postponement clause provided. Resolution scope: first 90 minutes plus stoppage time only.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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