TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe
kalshi
polymarket

SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe

Volume:
$144,816

SC Corinthians Paulista

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Kalshi

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 16, 2026

Closed: Apr 15, 8:30 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

SC Corinthians Paulista

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$40,695
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Corinthians

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$25,740
N/A
N/A
$16,293
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Independ. Santa Fe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,848
N/A
N/A
$36,813
Settled
No
polymarket

Independiente Santa Fe

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,625
N/A
N/A
$11,223
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,704
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers the outcome of a CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer match between SC Corinthians Paulista and Independiente Santa Fe scheduled for April 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Corinthians win, Santa Fe win, or draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes as separate Yes-resolving markets without explicit constraint language, while Polymarket uses standard binary Yes/No structure. Both platforms reference identical match conditions and official CONMEBOL sources, but market architecture differs.Hero tip: Understand that Kalshi's three markets represent one three-way outcome split (exactly one resolves Yes), while Polymarket's three binary markets naturally enforce mutual exclusivity through No resolutions. Both should settle identically based on official match result. Confirm Kalshi's auto-resolution behavior for non-occurring outcomes.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if its outcome occurs (Corinthians win, Santa Fe win, or Tie). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, CONMEBOL Libertadores, April 15, 2026. Quote: 'If Corinthians wins...then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. Implicit mutual exclusivity not explicitly stated.
  • Polymarket: Three independent binary markets with explicit Yes/No resolution: Corinthians win (Yes if win, No otherwise), Santa Fe win (Yes if win, No otherwise), Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, official CONMEBOL statistics, April 15, 2026. Quote: 'If SC Corinthians Paulista wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.