TOTAL VOLUME:
$61.9b
24H VOL:
$277,664,645
24H TRANSACTIONS:
600,114,870
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,379,707,856
581,715
Markets across
14,439
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
4,118
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
50%
VS.
Kalshi:
50%
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event group covers the outcome of a CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer match between SC Corinthians Paulista and Independiente Santa Fe scheduled for April 15, 2026. Markets across Kalshi and Polymarket assess three mutually exclusive outcomes: Corinthians win, Santa Fe win, or draw, all evaluated within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi presents three mutually exclusive outcomes as separate Yes-resolving markets without explicit constraint language, while Polymarket uses standard binary Yes/No structure. Both platforms reference identical match conditions and official CONMEBOL sources, but market architecture differs.Hero Tip:
Understand that Kalshi's three markets represent one three-way outcome split (exactly one resolves Yes), while Polymarket's three binary markets naturally enforce mutual exclusivity through No resolutions. Both should settle identically based on official match result. Confirm Kalshi's auto-resolution behavior for non-occurring outcomes.Critical Divergence Points:
Kalshi:
Three separate binary markets, each resolving Yes if its outcome occurs (Corinthians win, Santa Fe win, or Tie). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, CONMEBOL Libertadores, April 15, 2026. Quote: 'If Corinthians wins...then the market resolves to Yes' / 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes'. Implicit mutual exclusivity not explicitly stated.Polymarket:
Three independent binary markets with explicit Yes/No resolution: Corinthians win (Yes if win, No otherwise), Santa Fe win (Yes if win, No otherwise), Draw (Yes if draw, No otherwise). All reference 90 minutes plus stoppage time, official CONMEBOL statistics, April 15, 2026. Quote: 'If SC Corinthians Paulista wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
Related events
Follow the signals, not the noise
Get insights on market conviction, notable shifts, and what the data is quietly signaling.
PredictionHero © 2026 · v0.15.0PredictionHero provides aggregated market data and informational signals only. Nothing on this site constitutes financial, legal, or investment advice. Markets are volatile and speculative. Past performance does not guarantee future results. Always do your own research and consult qualified professionals before making decisions involving risk.