TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata?

Volume:
$694,320

Reg Time: Estudiantes La Plata

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 17, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 10:42 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Reg Time: Estudiantes La Plata

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$238,631
N/A
N/A
$89,996
Settled
Yes
polymarket

SC Corinthians Paulista

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$83,419
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Estudiantes de La Plata

100%
81%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$100,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Reg Time: Corinthians

0%
49%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$151,119
N/A
N/A
$112,790
Settled
No
kalshi

Reg Time: Tie

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$95,026
N/A
N/A
$53,160
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Estudiantes de La Plata)

0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between SC Corinthians Paulista and Estudiantes de La Plata in the CONMEBOL Libertadores tournament on September 16, 2026, specifically asking whether Estudiantes de La Plata will win. Currently, the consensus probability of Estudiantes de La Plata winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution determined by results reported at https://conmebollibertadores.com/. Keep an eye on September 17, 2026, as this is the estimated date for final resolution of the match outcome.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket explicitly handles game cancellation by resolving to 'No', while Kalshi makes no mention of this scenario, implying the game will occur.Hero tip: If you believe there's a significant chance of the match being canceled, favor the Polymarket market as it explicitly accounts for this possibility.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves to 'No' if the game is canceled entirely with no make-up game. Uses official statistics, then Flashscore/Sofascore/consensus if official data is unavailable. Resolution within 24 hours or 50/50 split.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No mention of cancellation handling. Implies the game will be played.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between SC Corinthians Paulista and Estudiantes de La Plata.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the result of the Corinthians vs Estudiantes La Plata professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Corinthians wins, the 'Corinthians' market resolves to Yes. If Estudiantes La Plata wins, the 'Estudiantes La Plata' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard aggregates real-time predictions on the outcome of the Corinthians vs. Estudiantes match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a strong probability for one outcome, though opinions vary. The total volume traded across both venues is $694,320, with $691,076 changing hands in the last 24 hours. This allows for a comprehensive view of market sentiment, reflecting the collective wisdom of traders regarding the potential result of this exciting contest. We track the probabilities and volume to provide a clear picture of where the smart money is going.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of many individuals trading on their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's a significant amount of volume. For this market, the current implied probabilities may diverge from sportsbook offerings, reflecting differing assessments of the teams' chances. It's a valuable comparison for informed bettors.