TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 10:42 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks the outcome of a soccer match between SC Corinthians Paulista and Estudiantes de La Plata in the CONMEBOL Libertadores tournament on September 16, 2026, specifically asking whether Estudiantes de La Plata will win. Currently, the consensus probability of Estudiantes de La Plata winning is 100.0%. This forecast is an aggregation of data from Kalshi and Polymarket, with resolution determined by results reported at https://conmebollibertadores.com/. Keep an eye on September 17, 2026, as this is the estimated date for final resolution of the match outcome.
This event is for the upcoming Copa Libertadores game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 16, 2026 between SC Corinthians Paulista and Estudiantes de La Plata.
The market resolves based on the result of the Corinthians vs Estudiantes La Plata professional CONMEBOL Libertadores soccer game originally scheduled for Sep 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If Corinthians wins, the 'Corinthians' market resolves to Yes. If Estudiantes La Plata wins, the 'Estudiantes La Plata' market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to over 48 hours away from the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules. Kalshi is not affiliated with the Governing League, and all trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the mechanisms behind price discovery. Sportsbooks set odds based on their internal models and aim to balance their risk, while prediction markets rely on the collective intelligence of many individuals trading on their beliefs. This can lead to prediction markets being more accurate, especially when there's a significant amount of volume. For this market, the current implied probabilities may diverge from sportsbook offerings, reflecting differing assessments of the teams' chances. It's a valuable comparison for informed bettors.