TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$234,875,025
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,205,330,693
501,301
Markets across
13,585
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,825
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
SC Corinthians Paulista vs. CR Flamengo
Volume:
$317,090
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
SC Corinthians Paulista and CR Flamengo will compete in a Brasileiro Serie A match on March 22, 2026. The outcome will be determined by the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. This is a standard three-way outcome event (Corinthians win, draw, or Flamengo win).
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's three markets collectively cover all possible outcomes (Corinthians win, Tie, Flamengo win) and resolve YES for any result, creating a logical contradiction where the market group cannot distinguish between outcomes. Polymarket offers three separate binary markets (Corinthians win, Draw, Flamengo win) with mutually exclusive YES/NO resolutions that properly partition the outcome space. This fundamental structural difference makes Kalshi's market group unresolvable as a coherent prediction instrument.Hero Tip:
Do not trade Kalshi's market group as presented—all three markets will resolve YES regardless of the match result, making them worthless for price discovery. Use Polymarket's three binary markets instead, where exactly one will resolve YES and the other two will resolve NO, allowing proper hedging and directional betting.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi presents three markets that each resolve YES if their respective outcome occurs (Corinthians win, Tie, or Flamengo win). Because these three outcomes are exhaustive and mutually exclusive, all three markets will resolve YES simultaneously for any match result. The rules state 'If Corinthians wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' 'If Tie wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' and 'If Flamengo wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' creating a logical impossibility where the market group cannot differentiate outcomes.
- Polymarket: Aligned with sound market design: Polymarket offers three separate binary markets with mutually exclusive resolutions. Market 1 resolves YES only if Corinthians wins, NO otherwise. Market 2 resolves YES only if the match ends in a draw, NO otherwise. Market 3 resolves YES only if Flamengo wins, NO otherwise. This structure ensures exactly one market resolves YES and two resolve NO for any match outcome, enabling proper price discovery and hedging. The rules explicitly state 'If SC Corinthians Paulista wins, this market will resolve to Yes. Otherwise, this market will resolve to No,' establishing clear binary partitioning.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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