TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 30, 3:02 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a soccer match between SC Barreiro and FC Madalena, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It evaluates different thresholds for how many goals one team might win by over the other, without considering extra time or penalty shootouts. The event provides insight into expectations around the competitiveness and potential scoring dynamics of the match.
The event consists of four distinct outcome markets all tied to the same SC Barreiro vs FC Madalena professional Taca de Portugal soccer match scheduled for August 30, 2026, with resolution based solely on regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the specified team wins by a margin exceeding either 1.5 or 2.5 goals, while all markets resolve to 'No' if the outcome does not meet the required threshold for that particular market. The event exclusively evaluates win margins during normal match time, disregarding any post-regulation proceedings. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders actively set the odds through buying and selling contracts that represent the likelihood of SC Barreiro winning by more than 2.5 goals during regulation time. The current top outcome reflects the collective assessment of participants, with price movements driven by new information such as player injuries, weather conditions, or recent performance metrics.
This market resolves around Aug 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score after 90 minutes of regulation time — excluding any extra time or penalties — will determine whether SC Barreiro meets the spread condition, closing the market based on observable, widely reported facts.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or unexpected weather conditions could all shift this market as they affect the perceived likelihood of a decisive win. Additionally, early betting trends or media narratives highlighting recent form may cause rapid price swings, especially as the match date nears and more concrete information becomes available.