TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 15, 6:37 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Eredivisie game between SBV Excelsior and PSV, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SBV Excelsior" if SBV Excelsior score more goals than PSV in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SBV Excelsior and PSV score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "PSV" if PSV score more goals than SBV Excelsior in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Eredivisie game between SBV Excelsior and PSV, scheduled for August 15, 2026 at 2:00 PM ET: This market will resolve to "SBV Excelsior" if SBV Excelsior score more goals than PSV in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if SBV Excelsior and PSV score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "PSV" if PSV score more goals than SBV Excelsior in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, this market shows a strong tilt toward a draw in the second half, contrasting with many traditional sportsbooks that often split their odds more evenly across all three possible outcomes. Prediction markets reflect crowd-sourced sentiment and can react faster to new information, while sportsbooks incorporate additional analytical modeling and risk management. Traders watching this market should note that the current crowd bias toward a draw might not fully align with sportsbook lines, which could present value opportunities depending on your outlook. The difference in pricing also highlights how decentralized markets can diverge from established betting platforms.
This market resolves around Aug 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by the official match records showing the score change in the second half only, and the market will close accordingly.
Several key developments could shift this market before Aug 15, 2026. Injuries to star players, tactical announcements from managers, or even weather conditions on match day often cause rapid re-pricing. Additionally, early events in the first half — such as goals or red cards — frequently influence trader sentiment for the second half outcome. Media narratives and expert analysis released in the lead-up can also sway perceptions. Traders should monitor official team announcements, live commentary during the match, and any surprising lineup changes that could dramatically alter the probability of a second-half draw.