TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Savinho: Next Club
kalshi

Savinho: Next Club

Volume:
$6,410

Tottenham

 - Kalshi

Tottenham - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 27, 2026

Closed: Aug 27, 1:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tottenham

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,807
N/A
N/A
$1,398
2d 19h 9m
Yes
kalshi

Manchester City

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,437
N/A
N/A
$826
2d 19h 9m
No
kalshi

Arsenal

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
$196
2d 19h 9m
No
kalshi

Real Madrid

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
$159
2d 19h 9m
No
kalshi

Bayern Munich

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
$140
2d 19h 9m
No
kalshi

Barcelona

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
$140
2d 19h 9m
No
kalshi

Chelsea

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
$140
2d 19h 9m
No
kalshi

Newcastle

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$140
N/A
N/A
$140
2d 19h 9m
No
kalshi

PSG

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$136
N/A
N/A
$136
2d 19h 9m
No
kalshi

Manchester United

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$115
N/A
N/A
$115
2d 19h 9m
No
Total markets: 10

Intro

This market tracks whether professional footballer Savinho will join Manchester City as his next club before October 2, 2026. On Kalshi, the probability of Savinho transferring to Manchester City stands at 65.5%. Resolution is determined by official confirmation of Savinho's club transfer, with the market settling by October 2, 2026. Watch for official announcements from Manchester City or Savinho's current club regarding transfer negotiations and completion before the October 2, 2026 deadline.

Kalshi

Resolution is determined by Savinho's next confirmed club affiliation before October 2, 2026 across ten specific clubs: Bayern Munich, Tottenham, Arsenal, Real Madrid, Barcelona, PSG, Chelsea, Manchester City, Newcastle, and Manchester United. A market resolves to Yes if Savinho signs a contract with that club—whether via transfer fee or as a free agent—or if he is loaned to that club. If Savinho signs with a club and is immediately loaned out, the signing club resolves to Yes while all others resolve to No. Re-signing, contract extensions, or remaining with a current club also trigger Yes resolution for that club. Official announcements of future agreements (pre-contracts or transfers effective in future windows) count toward resolution. If Savinho's contract expires without signing with any club, all markets resolve to No.

Frequently asked questions

The Savinho: Next Club dashboard on Kalshi tracks real-time odds and trading activity for where the Manchester City winger will transfer next. It displays the current probability of each potential destination, 24-hour trading volume of $0, and historical price movements. The dashboard updates continuously as traders place bets on outcomes like Premier League clubs, European top-flight teams, or other destinations. This live data reflects market consensus on Savinho's most likely next club based on collective trader predictions.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi often diverge from traditional sportsbook odds because they reflect real-money trader conviction rather than bookmaker risk management. Sportsbooks adjust lines to balance action and protect margins, while prediction markets aggregate genuine belief from participants who profit or lose based on accuracy. For Savinho's next club, prediction market prices may move faster in response to transfer rumors, injury updates, or contract developments than sportsbooks do. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd sees transfer probabilities differently than professional oddsmakers.

The Savinho: Next Club market resolves on Oct 2, 2026. Resolution is determined by which club Savinho officially joins next, as confirmed by official club announcements, league registration, or credible transfer news sources. The winning outcome is the club he transfers to, whether in the current transfer window or a future one before the deadline. All other outcomes resolve to zero value. Traders holding shares in the correct destination receive full payout; incorrect positions expire worthless.

Key catalysts include official transfer announcements from Manchester City or rival clubs, managerial changes at potential destinations, injury updates affecting Savinho's market value, contract extension news, and reported interest from specific teams in media. Loan moves, option clauses, or pre-contract agreements could also shift odds significantly. Regulatory or financial developments at target clubs—such as ownership changes or FFP sanctions—may alter their ability to sign him. Each rumor or official statement typically triggers immediate repricing as traders reassess probabilities before the Oct 2, 2026 deadline.