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OPEN INTEREST:
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406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 9:13 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Saudi Arabia and Uruguay (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 15, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Saudi Arabia and Uruguay (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the World Cup match scheduled for June 15, 2026, 22:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 15, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, the Saudi Arabia and Uruguay 4+ cards event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy YES or NO shares reflecting their belief in the outcome. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of YES shares represents the market's implied probability; as match details emerge—team lineups, referee assignments, historical card rates—the price adjusts in real time. Limitless uses an automated market maker or order-book model to ensure continuous liquidity, allowing you to enter or exit positions up until Jun 16, 2026. The final settlement price converges to 100 cents if 4 or more cards are issued, or 0 cents otherwise.
The market resolves at Jun 16, 2026, following the conclusion of the Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay match. Resolution is determined by the total number of yellow and red cards issued by the referee during regular and extra time. The outcome is binary: if the combined card count reaches 4 or higher, YES resolves to 100 cents; if fewer than 4 cards are shown, NO resolves to 100 cents. Official match records from the governing body are used to confirm the final card tally.
Several factors can shift market odds before Jun 16, 2026. Team news—injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes—affects playing style and aggression levels. Referee assignment announcements matter significantly, as different officials have varying card-issuance tendencies. Historical head-to-head records and recent disciplinary trends for both squads influence trader expectations. Weather conditions and pitch quality can increase physical play. Pre-match analysis from sports media and expert predictions may sway sentiment. Late betting action from sharp traders often signals new information. As kickoff approaches, real-time match events like early fouls or tactical adjustments will drive final price movements.