TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 9, 10:30 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if the combined total number of yellow and red cards received by Saudi Arabia and Senegal (players only) is 4 or higher during regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time only) in the Friendlies match scheduled for June 9, 2026, 23:00 UTC. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "NO." If the match is canceled after it starts, this market will resolve based on official data recorded up to that point. If the match is canceled entirely before it starts or postponed/rescheduled to a restart date later than August 9, 2026, 23:59 UTC, this market will resolve to "NO."
On Limitless, this outcome is priced through an order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit limit orders for YES and NO shares. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price reflects the marginal trade—the last matched order—and can shift rapidly as new information arrives. Limitless does not use a traditional odds format; instead, prices range from 0 to 100 cents per share, where a price of 60 cents implies roughly a 60% implied probability. Liquidity and spreads vary; deeper order books allow larger trades with tighter slippage.
The market resolves on Jun 10, 2026, after the final whistle of the Saudi Arabia versus Senegal match. Resolution is determined by the official card count recorded by the match referee and confirmed by the relevant football authority. Both yellow and red cards are counted toward the total. Once the match concludes and the official record is published, the outcome is locked and traders' positions settle accordingly. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution deadline.
Key catalysts include team lineup announcements—aggressive or defensively-minded starting elevens shift card expectations. Referee assignment matters significantly; some officials maintain stricter disciplinary records than others. Recent form and injury news can alter playing style; a depleted squad may resort to more fouls. Pre-match commentary from coaches about tactical approach influences trader sentiment. Weather conditions and pitch quality on match day can affect play intensity. Historical head-to-head records and disciplinary trends for both nations also inform market repricing. Any late-breaking suspensions or tactical shifts in the 24 hours before kickoff typically trigger sharp moves.