TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 5:05 PM EST
Kalshi
This market assesses the potential margin of victory in an upcoming Serie A soccer match between Sassuolo and Juventus. It focuses on how many goals the winning team scores beyond their opponent, with different thresholds defining various outcomes. The event captures the competitive balance and scoring dynamics between the two teams.
The event evaluates different goal-differential scenarios in the Sassuolo vs Juventus Serie A match scheduled for September 13, 2026. Four distinct outcomes are defined based on the margin of victory, each resolving to 'Yes' if the specified condition is met within regular time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Sassuolo winning by more than 2.5 goals or by more than 1.5 goals, and Juventus winning by more than 1.5 goals or by more than 2.5 goals each constitute separate resolving conditions. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the wisdom of the crowd, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks which may be influenced by factors like house bias or initial public perception. Sportsbooks establish initial lines based on their analysis, while this market allows anyone to trade on their own predictions. If a significant number of traders believe the sportsbook’s line is inaccurate, the price here will move accordingly. This can lead to prediction market odds offering a different perspective on the likely outcome of the Sassuolo vs Juventus match compared to traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief about the final spread of the Sassuolo vs Juventus match. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that spread occurring, as determined by supply and demand. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders can take either the 'buy' (yes) or 'sell' (no) side of the spread, and the market price adjusts with each trade. This dynamic pricing mechanism aims to represent the collective intelligence of all participants.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the final spread of the Sassuolo vs Juventus match as officially recorded by a recognized sports data provider. The final spread will be compared to the contract’s spread to determine payouts. Traders holding contracts on the correct side of the spread will receive a payout, while those on the incorrect side may incur a loss. The exact payout amount depends on the price paid or received for the contract.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 13, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either Sassuolo or Juventus would likely have a significant impact. Changes in team form, tactical adjustments announced by the managers, or even weather conditions on match day could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news related to player suspensions or off-field issues could also move the market. Monitoring these signals and analyzing their potential impact on the Sassuolo vs Juventus match is crucial for informed trading.