TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.1b
24H VOL:
$217,487,446
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,300,303,450
498,643
Markets across
13,761
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,763
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saski Baskonia vs. Maccabi Tel Aviv
Volume:
$335,415
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
In the upcoming Euroleague basketball game, scheduled for April 7 at 3:00PM ET: If the Saski Baskonia win, the market will resolve to "Saski Baskonia". If the Maccabi Tel Aviv win, the market will resolve to "Maccabi Tel Aviv". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's market structure is logically contradictory and unresolvable: both outcomes (Baskonia win and Maccabi win) are specified to resolve to YES, making it impossible to distinguish between them. Polymarket uses standard binary logic where one team wins and resolves to that team's name, or the game is canceled/postponed with clear fallback rules.Hero Tip:
Avoid trading on Kalshi's market for this event — it contains a fatal logical error where both possible game outcomes map to the same resolution (YES), making settlement impossible to adjudicate fairly. Polymarket's market is resolvable and should be preferred.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Kalshi's market contains a logical contradiction. Both resolution rules state 'the market resolves to Yes' regardless of which team wins: 'If Baskonia wins... resolves to Yes' AND 'If Maccabi wins... resolves to Yes.' This makes the market unresolvable because every possible outcome maps to the same result.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Polymarket uses standard binary logic where the market resolves to the name of the winning team ('Saski Baskonia' or 'Maccabi Tel Aviv'), with explicit fallback rules for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). This is logically coherent and resolvable.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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