TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.6b
24H VOL:
$283,259,638
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,235,549,422
505,521
Markets across
13,661
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,892
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Saski Baskonia vs. KK Crvena Zvezda
Volume:
$1,097,617
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
A Euroleague basketball matchup between Saski Baskonia and KK Crvena Zvezda scheduled for March 25, 2024 at 3:30 PM ET. The market resolves based on the final outcome: Saski Baskonia wins or KK Crvena Zvezda wins, with contingencies for postponement and cancellation.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi's resolution logic is fundamentally broken and unresolvable. Kalshi states the market resolves YES if either Baskonia OR Crvena Zvezda wins, which means the market resolves YES for every possible outcome. Polymarket correctly resolves to the winner's name (binary outcome), while Kalshi's YES-for-all-outcomes structure violates basic market logic.Hero Tip:
Do not trade on Kalshi's version of this market. The Kalshi market is logically incoherent and will resolve YES regardless of the game result, making it unsuitable for directional betting. Polymarket's binary resolution (Baskonia vs. Crvena Zvezda) is the only tradeable version.Critical Divergence Points:
- Polymarket: Outlier (in correctness): Polymarket resolves to the actual winner's name. If Baskonia wins, market resolves to 'Saski Baskonia'. If Crvena Zvezda wins, market resolves to 'KK Crvena Zvezda'. Includes proper edge cases for postponement (market remains open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the Saski Baskonia win, the market will resolve to Saski Baskonia. If the KK Crvena Zvezda win, the market will resolve to KK Crvena Zvezda.'
- Kalshi: Distinct stance: Kalshi's resolution logic is contradictory and unresolvable. It states the market resolves YES if Baskonia wins AND also resolves YES if Crvena Zvezda wins, meaning YES is the outcome for every possible game result. Quote: 'If Baskonia Vitoria-Gasteiz wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If KK Crvena zvezda Belgrade wins...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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