TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 6:59 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether the combined score of a CFL football game between the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Winnipeg Blue Bombers exceeds various thresholds. The outcome depends on the total points scored by both teams during the match. Higher thresholds represent more aggressive scoring expectations.
The event evaluates multiple thresholds for the total points scored by both the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Winnipeg Blue Bombers in their professional CFL football game originally scheduled for September 12, 2026. Each threshold—over 43.5, 50.5, 57.5, 64.5, and 71.5 points—defines a separate market that resolves to 'Yes' if the combined score surpasses that specific value. All markets are independent, meaning the resolution of one does not affect the others. The governing rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting these markets, holds no official affiliation with the CFL or its teams, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd, often differing from initial sportsbook lines. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market allows traders to express their own probabilities. If a significant number of traders believe a particular outcome is more likely than implied by sportsbook odds, the price of contracts representing that outcome will rise. It’s common to see prediction markets outperform traditional sportsbooks in accuracy, as they aggregate diverse perspectives and continuously update based on new information.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing different total point ranges for the game. The price of a contract indicates the probability of the total points falling within that range. As more traders buy a contract, its price increases, reflecting a higher perceived probability. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The market dynamically adjusts based on supply and demand, providing a real-time assessment of the likely total points scored in the game. This differs from fixed-odds betting, where prices are set by a bookmaker.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final total points scored in the Saskatchewan Roughriders versus Winnipeg Blue Bombers game will be used to determine which contracts pay out. Contracts corresponding to the actual total points range will settle at 100, while those outside that range will settle to 0. The official game statistics will be the basis for the resolution, ensuring a transparent and objective outcome.
Several factors could influence the price of contracts in this market. Any news regarding key player injuries for either the Roughriders or the Blue Bombers would likely cause significant movement. Changes in weather forecasts, particularly if they suggest a high-scoring or low-scoring game, could also impact trading activity. Late-breaking news about coaching strategies or team morale, as well as public sentiment shifts, could also play a role in how this market evolves before it resolves.