TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 4:05 AM EST
Kalshi
Two professional Valorant teams will compete in a best-of-three series. This market focuses on which team claims victory in the first map of their match scheduled for September 15, 2026.
The market resolves based on which team wins the first map in the specified Valorant match. If the match or map is postponed beyond 48 hours, cancelled, or forfeited before play begins, the market resolves to the fair market price. If a map begins and is later forfeited, the result follows the official governing body's decision.
Typically, prediction market odds reflect the wisdom of the crowd and can differ from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks often set initial lines based on their own analysis and may incorporate a margin for profit. This market, however, is driven by traders who are incentivized to accurately predict the outcome, leading to potentially more efficient pricing. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially as new information becomes available and market participants adjust their beliefs about the likelihood of each map being chosen.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction. Traders submit buy and sell orders for contracts representing the probability of a specific map being selected. The price of each contract fluctuates based on supply and demand, reflecting the collective belief of the traders. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for real-time adjustments to the perceived likelihood of each outcome, creating a market-driven assessment of the map pick.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the official map selection for the Sasanqua vs. FULL SENSE SISU match is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% for the map that is ultimately chosen to be played in the match. Traders who correctly predicted the map pick will receive a payout based on the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event schedule for any potential changes that could affect the resolution timeline.
Several factors could influence the CS2 map pick market. Any news regarding player preferences, team strategies, or recent performance on specific maps could shift trader sentiment. Official announcements from the tournament organizers about map pools or potential veto procedures would also be significant catalysts. Unexpected roster changes or reports of players being in peak form could also impact the probabilities. Monitoring professional CS2 analysts and community discussions can provide valuable insights into potential market movements before Sep 15, 2026.