TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 1:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Viking FK, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sarpsborg 08 FF" if Sarpsborg 08 FF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Viking FK" if Viking FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Viking FK, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sarpsborg 08 FF" if Sarpsborg 08 FF are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Viking FK" if Viking FK are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and profit margin, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital. This market may show higher or lower implied probability than a sportsbook's first-goal line, depending on whether informed traders see value the books have mispriced. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and which venue participants view as more accurate.
On Polymarket, traders set the odds through an automated market maker that adjusts prices based on order flow and liquidity. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate belief of all active traders at that moment. As match conditions change—injuries, weather, team news—traders update their positions, moving the price. The market price converges toward the true probability as more information arrives and more capital enters the order book.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the Sarpsborg 08 FF versus Viking FK match concludes and the outcome is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by which team scores the opening goal during regulation time. Once the event is confirmed through reliable match records, the market settles automatically, paying out traders who backed the correct team. Early resolution is possible if the match is abandoned or postponed beyond the resolution window.
Key catalysts include team news such as injuries to star strikers or defensive players, lineup announcements, and recent form trends. Weather conditions closer to match day can shift expectations around scoring likelihood. Head-to-head history and tactical adjustments by either manager may prompt traders to reassess probabilities. Social media sentiment, expert analysis, and betting syndicates entering the market can also drive price swings. Any official postponement or venue change would trigger immediate repricing as well.