TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 12, 1:15 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Viking FK, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game between Sarpsborg 08 FF and Viking FK, scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK match originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 1:15 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and traditional sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets are driven purely by trader belief and arbitrage. In this market, odds represent aggregated crowd sentiment rather than a bookmaker's calculated spread. Sportsbooks may offer tighter margins on major events, whereas prediction markets can show wider ranges on niche outcomes. Both venues price the same underlying event, but prediction markets typically reward accuracy over time, creating different risk-reward dynamics than fixed sportsbook payouts.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker (AMM) mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each possible exact score. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each outcome reflects the ratio of liquidity allocated to that share, and as traders buy or sell, the price adjusts automatically according to the platform's pricing algorithm. Traders profit by correctly predicting the final scoreline, with payouts determined by their share holdings at resolution. The current odds reflect the collective assessment of all active participants, updated continuously as new trades execute.
This market resolves around Jul 12, 2026, once the Sarpsborg 08 FF vs. Viking FK match concludes and the final score is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the exact scoreline at the end of regular play, with the winning shares paying out based on which exact score occurred. Traders holding shares in the correct outcome receive their proportional payout, while incorrect predictions expire worthless. Resolution timing depends on match completion and official confirmation of the result.
Key catalysts that could shift odds include team news such as player injuries, suspensions, or lineup changes announced before kickoff. Recent form, head-to-head history, and weather conditions on match day all influence trader sentiment. Betting syndicates and sharp bettors entering the market can cause rapid repricing as new information emerges. Live match developments—such as early goals, red cards, or tactical adjustments—may also prompt traders to adjust positions if the market remains open during play. Close to Jul 12, 2026, final team confirmations and any last-minute roster updates typically drive the most significant movements.