TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Sao Paulo vs Santos: Spread
kalshi

Sao Paulo vs Santos: Spread

Volume:
$0

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals

 - Kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 2, 2026

Closed: Aug 1, 6:55 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 2.5 goals

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Sao Paulo wins by more than 1.5 goals

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Santos wins by more than 1.5 goals

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Santos wins by more than 2.5 goals

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 4

Description

This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sao Paulo and Santos, focusing on the margin of victory for either team. The result depends on how many goals each team scores during regular time, excluding any extra time or penalty shootouts. Different thresholds define whether the event is considered a success for one team or the other based on the goal differential.

Kalshi

The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios in the Sao Paulo versus Santos Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for July 30, 2026. Resolution is determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty phases. Four distinct outcome thresholds are defined: Sao Paulo winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sao Paulo winning by more than 1.5 goals, Santos winning by more than 1.5 goals, and Santos winning by more than 2.5 goals. Any of these conditions, if met, will resolve the event positively for the respective team’s corresponding threshold. The governing body’s official match result is the sole determinant, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard for the Sao Paulo vs Santos spread market on Kalshi tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume for this specific betting line. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of different goal-margin outcomes between the two teams. You can monitor fluctuations and see total volume of $0 to gauge interest, along with $0 for recent activity.

Prediction market odds in this market often reflect a more nuanced, community-driven view compared to traditional sportsbook lines. While sportsbooks set their spreads based on analytics and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on outcomes, which can lead to tighter or shifting lines. Traders should compare this market’s current implied probability to sportsbook spreads to spot potential value or divergence in expectations.

This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score difference will determine which spread range is correct, and the market will settle based on that official result. Timing aligns with the conclusion of the match and subsequent confirmation from accepted sports data sources.

Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or recent team performance trends could shift this market as the match approaches. Media coverage and analyst predictions may also influence trader sentiment. Any last-minute lineup changes or tactical decisions by coaches can cause rapid adjustments in odds and volume on Kalshi before the game begins.