TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 18, 10:29 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the outcome of a professional soccer match between Sao Paulo and Bolivar, focusing specifically on the margin of victory during regulation time. It examines different thresholds for wins by either team, highlighting the importance of goal differentials in determining the result.
The event evaluates various goal-differential scenarios for the Sao Paulo versus Bolivar professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match scheduled for August 18, 2026, considering only regulation time (90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties). Four distinct outcomes are possible: Sao Paulo winning by more than 2.5 goals, Sao Paulo winning by more than 1.5 goals, Bolivar winning by more than 1.5 goals, or Bolivar winning by more than 2.5 goals. Each outcome corresponds to a separate market resolving to 'Yes' if achieved during regulation time; otherwise, all markets resolve to 'No'. The rules clarify that Kalshi, the platform hosting this event, holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and real-time adjustments. While sportsbooks may set a static spread, prediction markets let participants react instantly to new information, potentially creating sharper or more volatile pricing. Traders should compare both sources to spot discrepancies, but remember that this market reflects crowd-sourced forecasts rather than institutional lines.
This market resolves around Aug 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends solely on the regulation-time score difference between the two teams, and no additional analysis or interpretation is needed beyond official match records.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or significant form swings leading up to the match could shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any geopolitical or logistical factors affecting team preparation, as well as early pre-match betting trends on other platforms, may influence how traders price the probability of Bolivar covering the spread before Aug 19, 2026.