TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 8:35 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Chloe Paquet and Martina Capurro in the Sao Paulo Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Paquet' if Chloe Paquet advances against Martina Capurro. This market will resolve to 'Martina Capurro' if Martina Capurro advances against Chloe Paquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Chloe Paquet and Martina Capurro in the Sao Paulo Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for September 12, 2026 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Paquet' if Chloe Paquet advances against Martina Capurro. This market will resolve to 'Martina Capurro' if Martina Capurro advances against Chloe Paquet. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set odds to maximize profit, incorporating a margin for themselves, while this market allows traders to directly express their beliefs about the probability of each outcome. It’s common to see discrepancies, especially when public opinion diverges from the sportsbook’s initial assessment. Analyzing these differences can reveal valuable insights into where the crowd believes the true odds lie for the Paquet vs Capurro match.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the likelihood of each outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information emerges, the prices adjust to reflect the evolving consensus. The market’s depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions for the Paquet vs Capurro match, and the price movements provide a real-time assessment of the perceived probabilities.
This market resolves around Sep 19, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Chloe Paquet vs Martina Capurro qualification match at the Sao Paulo Open. The platform will verify the winner against publicly available match results from reputable sports news sources and official tournament organizers. Traders will then be able to claim their winnings based on the final outcome of this market.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before resolution. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly impact trader sentiment. Unexpected upsets in other matches within the Sao Paulo Open qualification rounds might also shift expectations. Furthermore, analysis from tennis experts or updated betting odds from sportsbooks could prompt traders to reassess their positions. The closer we get to Sep 19, 2026, the more sensitive this market will likely be to any new information related to the Paquet vs Capurro match.