TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 16, 4:05 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the tennis match between Jazmin Ortenzi and Chloe Paquet in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jazmin Ortenzi' if Jazmin Ortenzi advances against Chloe Paquet. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Paquet' if Chloe Paquet advances against Jazmin Ortenzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the tennis match between Jazmin Ortenzi and Chloe Paquet in the Sao Paulo Open, originally scheduled for September 14, 2026 at 2:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jazmin Ortenzi' if Jazmin Ortenzi advances against Chloe Paquet. This market will resolve to 'Chloe Paquet' if Chloe Paquet advances against Jazmin Ortenzi. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by September 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (player withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the WTA Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Generally, prediction market odds often reflect a wisdom-of-the-crowd effect, potentially differing from traditional sportsbook odds. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and aim to balance action on both sides, while this market represents the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. Discrepancies can arise due to differing information, biases, or simply the dynamic nature of each venue. It’s common to see this market adjust rapidly to new information, potentially leading to odds that diverge from, or converge with, those offered by sportsbooks.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The more traders who believe a particular outcome will happen, the higher the price of its corresponding shares will rise. This creates a dynamic and fluid pricing system that reflects the collective intelligence of the crowd.
This market resolves around Sep 21, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the official result of the Sao Paulo Open match between Jazmin Ortenzi and Chloe Paquet. The platform will verify the winner against official tournament results and reporting to determine the final payout for this market. Traders should monitor official sources for the definitive outcome of the match to understand when the market will be settled.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 21, 2026. Any news regarding player form, injuries, or changes in playing conditions could significantly shift predictions. Unexpected results in preceding matches for either player, or even broader tournament upsets, could also impact trader sentiment. Furthermore, significant betting activity or large volume trades on Polymarket itself could trigger price movements, reflecting a change in perceived probabilities as traders react to new information or adjust their strategies.