TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 13, 7:04 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks whether Santos and Macara will each find the back of the net in their CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture scheduled for August 13. The outcome hinges entirely on both teams' ability to convert scoring opportunities during normal match time.
If Santos and Macara both score a goal in the Santos vs Macara CONMEBOL Sudamericana match originally scheduled for Aug 13, 2026 after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (does not include extra time or penalties), then the market resolves to Yes.
On sportsbooks, the probability of both teams scoring is typically priced through traditional bookmaker models, which include a built-in house edge and may reflect public sentiment more directly. In contrast, this market uses a decentralized trader-driven approach where prices emerge from real-time buying and selling activity. This often results in tighter odds and a more nuanced reflection of perceived likelihoods, especially as new information emerges closer to match time. Traders on Kalshi respond dynamically to shifts in analysis and betting patterns, which can cause divergence from sportsbook lines.
This market resolves around Aug 14, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will find the final result reflected automatically based on whether both Santos and Macara scored during the match, closing the market definitively.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form leading up to the match could all shift this market. Any news that impacts the likelihood of both teams scoring — such as suspension updates or weather conditions affecting gameplay — may cause traders on Kalshi to adjust their positions, moving the odds closer to or further from an even split.