TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 16, 11:29 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets will resolve based on the margin of victory for either Santos Laguna or Guadalajara, focusing specifically on wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals during the standard 90-minute regulation time plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties.
All markets resolve based on the goal differential if Santos Laguna or Guadalajara wins the professional Liga MX soccer game scheduled for August 16, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The outcomes are determined by whether Santos Laguna wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals, or whether Guadalajara wins by more than 1.5 or 2.5 goals. Extra time and penalty shootout results are excluded. Kalshi disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders determine the price through continuous trading, with the current top outcome reflecting the collective belief about which team will cover the spread. The market’s probability distribution adjusts based on trading volume and participant activity, offering a dynamic snapshot of expectations. This pricing mechanism allows for rapid shifts in perception as new data or events influence trader behavior.
This market resolves around Aug 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match score, which is compared against the defined spread to decide whether Santos Laguna or Guadalajara covers. The process ensures an objective resolution once the match concludes and results are widely reported.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions, or changes in team strategy could shift this market as the match nears. Media reports, coach statements, and pre-game betting trends may also influence trader sentiment. Any development affecting the perceived likelihood of a team covering the spread can cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi before the event concludes.