TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 29, 12:36 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Santos FC and Universidad Central de Venezuela FC, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC match originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Santos FC and Universidad Central de Venezuela FC, scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Santos FC vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC match originally scheduled for July 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of traders risking real capital on outcomes. This market aggregates trader conviction across a diverse set of participants, which can lead to sharper or more contrarian pricing than traditional sportsbooks offer. Comparing this market's odds to major sportsbook lines can reveal where the crowd sees value or where consensus has shifted, though both venues ultimately reflect uncertainty about the final scoreline.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that calculates odds based on the proportion of capital allocated to each exact score outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy shares in their predicted scoreline, and the price of each outcome adjusts dynamically as volume flows in or out. The top outcome currently reflects strong trader conviction, with pricing updated in real time as new information emerges. This continuous repricing mechanism ensures that the market remains responsive to breaking news, injury reports, or shifts in public sentiment about the teams' form or matchup dynamics.
This market resolves around Jul 29, 2026, once the match concludes and the final scoreline is confirmed. The outcome is determined by the actual goals scored by each team during regulation time, verified against credible public sources covering the fixture. Traders holding shares in the correct exact score receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing quick settlement and enabling participants to redeploy capital to other markets.
Key catalysts for this market include team news such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or managerial changes that alter perceived attacking or defensive strength. Recent form, head-to-head history, and travel or weather conditions can all shift trader expectations about goal-scoring patterns. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking information—such as a key player's fitness status or unexpected tactical adjustments—often triggers sharp repricing. Live match events, including early goals or red cards, will also drive dramatic swings in outcome probabilities, though this market settles only on the final scoreline once the match ends.