TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 3, 1:06 AM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Santos FC and SE Palmeiras, scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Santos FC and SE Palmeiras, scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "SE Palmeiras" if SE Palmeiras are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through their bets, which determine the implied probability of each outcome. The current pricing reflects the collective view of participants about which team is favored to score first, and it can change rapidly as new data emerges, such as injuries or tactical updates.
This market resolves around Sep 3, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the match result is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to find the back of the net during the game will settle the market, regardless of when in the match the goal is scored.
Injuries, lineup changes, weather conditions, and tactical decisions by coaches can all shift this market as the match approaches. Key moments like a star player being ruled out or an unexpected formation change may cause rapid price swings, especially if they affect scoring potential. Momentum from early pre-match news, such as recent scoring form or disciplinary actions, also influences trader behavior. As Sep 3, 2026 nears, any update that alters the perceived likelihood of each team scoring first — even minor ones — can trigger volume spikes and probability shifts on Polymarket.