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406,019

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MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

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61%

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Santos FC vs. SE Palmeiras
kalshi
polymarket

Santos FC vs. SE Palmeiras

Volume:
$600,519

Palmeiras advances

 - Kalshi

Palmeiras advances - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 3, 2026

Closed: Sep 2, 11:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Palmeiras advances

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$62,027
N/A
N/A
$50,389
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Santos FC vs. SE Palmeiras)

View
100%
71%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,513
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Santos advances

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$392,068
N/A
N/A
$249,751
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos FC

View
0%
31%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$86,203
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

SE Palmeiras

View
0%
39%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44,708
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks the probability of a draw in the Santos FC versus SE Palmeiras soccer match. Currently, the aggregated consensus across Kalshi and Polymarket indicates a 100.0% probability of a draw. This prediction market resolves based on the match outcome reported by https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/copa-do-brasil. However, be aware of potential discrepancies as Kalshi resolves based on tournament advancement while Polymarket resolves based on the single match result on September 2, 2026, so closely monitor the Copa do Brasil Quarterfinal tie for any developments.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Divergence between match outcome resolution (Polymarket) and tournament advancement resolution (Kalshi)Hero tip: Be cautious when trading these markets as they resolve differently — Polymarket resolves based on the single match result, while Kalshi resolves based on overall tournament progression which could depend on aggregate scores or away goals if a second leg exists.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on the result of the single match on September 2, 2026. If Santos FC wins, the market resolves to Yes; otherwise, it resolves to No. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve No for Santos FC win and Yes for draw market.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on tournament advancement in the Copa do Brasil Quarterfinal tie. If Santos advance past Palmeiras in the tie, the market resolves to Yes; if Palmeiras advance, it resolves to Yes for their advancement. This implies the resolution depends on the outcome of a potential two-legged tie, not just the September 2, 2026 match.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa do Brasil game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 2, 2026 between Santos FC and SE Palmeiras.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which team advances from the Santos vs Palmeiras soccer tie in the Quarterfinal of the Copa do Brasil. If Santos advances past Palmeiras, the 'Santos advances' market resolves to Yes; if Palmeiras advances past Santos, the 'Palmeiras advances' market resolves to Yes.