TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

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OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Santos FC vs. Recoleta FC
polymarket
kalshi

Santos FC vs. Recoleta FC

Volume:
$225,561

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 15, 2026

Closed: Apr 14, 11:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$19,228
N/A
N/A
$14,240
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Santos FC vs. Recoleta FC)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$18,028
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Santos FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$76,344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Santos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$27,654
N/A
N/A
$21,182
Settled
No
kalshi

CD Recoleta

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65,668
N/A
N/A
$47,641
Settled
No
polymarket

Recoleta FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$18,639
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match between Santos FC and CD Recoleta scheduled for April 14, 2026. Markets across Polymarket and Kalshi assess the outcome after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, including three possible results: Santos win, Recoleta win, or draw.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Market structure differs (three binary markets vs. single three-outcome market) and cancellation logic is asymmetric across Polymarket win/draw markets, with Kalshi providing no explicit cancellation guidance.Hero tip: Traders should verify Kalshi's cancellation protocol directly with the platform. On Polymarket, the draw market provides cancellation protection (resolves YES if no makeup game), while win markets do not. This creates a structural hedge but also potential arbitrage if platforms diverge on cancellation interpretation.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets. Draw market: resolves YES if canceled with no makeup. Win markets: resolve NO if canceled with no makeup. Resolution source: official CONMEBOL statistics within 2 hours, or credible reporting consensus if delayed. Quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) and 'this market will resolve No' (wins).
  • Kalshi: Single three-outcome market (Santos wins, Recoleta wins, Tie). No explicit cancellation clause provided in source data. Resolution source: implied official CONMEBOL statistics after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Quote: 'If Santos wins... If CD Recoleta wins... If Tie wins...' with no contingency language for cancellation.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.