TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 9:58 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Santos FC and Mirassol FC, scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Santos FC and Mirassol FC, scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Mirassol FC" if Mirassol FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Compared to traditional sportsbook odds, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a more nuanced outlook because they incorporate real-time trader sentiment and can adjust faster to new information. While sportsbooks may lag or smooth odds to manage risk, prediction markets let participants react instantly to shifts in perception, injuries, or weather conditions. This can create notable differences in implied probabilities, especially as the match nears.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through their bets, which determine the current implied probability for each possible outcome. The market price adjusts dynamically based on the volume and balance of buy and sell orders. As more traders place bets, especially large ones, the odds can shift quickly to reflect changing expectations about which team will score first.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The first team to find the back of the net during the match will decide the result, and the platform will update the market status accordingly shortly after the final whistle blows.
Injuries to key attacking players, weather changes affecting playing conditions, or strategic lineup announcements could all shift this market. Additionally, any strong performance in recent matches by a team’s forwards or goalkeeping errors may influence trader sentiment. As the match day approaches, any news that impacts the likelihood of an early goal can cause rapid price movements on Polymarket.