TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 23, 8:03 PM EST
Kalshi
This event group covers the exact score outcome of the Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC match in the Brasileiro Serie A on August 23, 2026. Markets resolve based on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Santos FC and Mirassol FC, scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Santos FC vs. Mirassol FC match originally scheduled for August 23, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
The event determines the winner of the Santos vs Mirassol Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for August 23, 2026, based solely on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Three distinct markets correspond to possible outcomes: Santos win, Mirassol win, or a tie. If the match concludes with a win for either team within regular time, the respective market resolves to Yes. If the game ends in a tie after regular time, the Tie market resolves to Yes. In the event the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform rules. The platform explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds on this market reflect crowd-sourced expectations shaped by trader activity, while sportsbooks assign probabilities based on their own models and risk management. The two can diverge because prediction markets incorporate real-time sentiment and micro-updates, whereas sportsbooks often lag and adjust less frequently. Traders might see a different implied chance for specific scores compared to traditional sportsbook lines, creating potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket and Kalshi, prices can vary due to differences in user participation, liquidity, and market design. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. For example, one platform might attract more local fans or have deeper liquidity for certain outcomes, skewing its odds. Additionally, each venue sets its own rules for how trades execute and how probabilities are displayed, which can lead to divergences in the implied chances for the same event. These factors mean that Polymarket and Kalshi may show distinct valuations for this market, offering traders opportunities to compare and potentially arbitrage between platforms.
Injuries to key players, weather conditions affecting play, and tactical changes announced by coaches can all shift this market. High-profile betting activity on either side may also create momentum swings, especially as the match nears. Any last-minute lineup announcements or venue updates could cause rapid re-pricing in the hours before kickoff, so monitoring news feeds and team disclosures is crucial for tracking potential moves.