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402,751

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2,632

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5

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VS.

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Santos FC vs. Fluminense FC
kalshi
polymarket

Santos FC vs. Fluminense FC

Volume:
$414,948

Fluminense FC

 - Polymarket

Fluminense FC - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Apr 20, 2026

Closed: Apr 19, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Fluminense FC

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$52,435
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Santos FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$333,387
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Santos FC vs. Fluminense FC)

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$22,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Santos wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,857
N/A
N/A
$2,685
Settled
No
kalshi

Fluminense wins by over 1.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,661
N/A
N/A
$1,531
Settled
No
kalshi

Santos wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$748
N/A
N/A
$718
Settled
No
kalshi

Fluminense wins by over 2.5 goals

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$366
N/A
N/A
$366
Settled
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Santos FC and Fluminense FC are scheduled to compete on April 19, 2026, in a Brazilian Serie A match. Three mutually exclusive outcomes are being tracked: a Santos victory, a Fluminense victory, or a draw. Settlement will be based on the final score within 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, with official CBF statistics as the primary source.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket offers three mutually exclusive binary outcomes (Santos win, Draw, Fluminense win), while Kalshi offers four independent spread-based markets (Santos >2.5, Santos >1.5, Fluminense >1.5, Fluminense >2.5). The platforms measure different settlement dimensions: Polymarket resolves on match outcome only, Kalshi resolves on margin of victory.Hero tip: On Polymarket, exactly one of the three markets will resolve YES—they are mutually exclusive. On Kalshi, multiple markets can resolve YES simultaneously (e.g., if Santos wins 3-0, both 'Santos >2.5' and 'Santos >1.5' resolve YES). Do not assume Kalshi markets are mutually exclusive; they are independent spread bets. If you want pure outcome exposure, use Polymarket; if you want margin exposure, use Kalshi.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three binary outcome markets covering all possible results: Santos win (YES/NO), Draw (YES/NO), Fluminense win (YES/NO). Exactly one resolves YES. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only. Resolution source: official CBF statistics or credible reporting consensus within 2 hours. Cancellation with no makeup resolves Santos and Fluminense markets to NO, Draw market to YES.
  • Kalshi: Four independent spread-based markets: Fluminense >2.5 goals, Santos >1.5 goals, Fluminense >1.5 goals, Santos >2.5 goals. Each market resolves YES or NO independently based on final margin. Scope: 90 minutes plus stoppage time only (no extra time or penalties). Multiple markets can resolve YES in the same match (e.g., Santos wins 3-0 triggers both Santos >2.5 and Santos >1.5).
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.