TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$141,541,542

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,440,096,988

406,065

Markets across

30,522

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,692

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Santos FC vs. Cruzeiro EC
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Santos FC vs Cruzeiro EC?

Volume:
$462,075

Santos

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 13, 2026

Closed: Sep 12, 10:32 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Santos

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$206,995
N/A
N/A
$81,834
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Santos FC

View
100%
68%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$44,912
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Cruzeiro

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$80,414
N/A
N/A
$59,015
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$68,261
N/A
N/A
$43,900
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Santos FC vs. Cruzeiro EC)

View
0%
28%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,832
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cruzeiro EC

View
0%
38%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$46,661
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This group forecasts the outcome of the Santos FC vs. Cruzeiro EC Brasileiro Serie A soccer match scheduled for September 12, 2026. Markets exist for Santos winning, Cruzeiro winning, and the game ending in a draw, all determined by the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket focuses on a single team winning, while Kalshi includes a 'Tie' outcome. Polymarket resolves to 'No' on cancellation, while Kalshi's cancellation handling is not explicitly defined.Hero tip: Consider the probability of a draw when trading on Kalshi. Be mindful of cancellation risk, particularly on Polymarket where cancellation results in a 'No' resolution.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Santos FC wins, 'No' otherwise. Cancellation results in 'No' resolution. Refers only to the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve 'Yes' if Santos or Cruzeiro wins, or if the game ends in a tie, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit cancellation handling is defined.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Saturday, September 12, 2026 between Santos FC and Cruzeiro EC.

Kalshi

The markets resolve based on the result of the Santos vs Cruzeiro professional Brasileiro Serie A soccer game scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. A 'Yes' outcome for the Santos market occurs if Santos wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Cruzeiro market occurs if Cruzeiro wins within regulation. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends level after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. No outcomes consider results from extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds, like those found for this market, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the differing incentives and information sources. Sportsbooks set odds to maximize profit, while prediction markets aggregate the beliefs of many individuals, potentially leading to more accurate probabilities. The wisdom of the crowd effect can result in prediction markets reflecting a more informed assessment of the likelihood of each outcome. Furthermore, prediction markets allow participants to hedge their bets and express nuanced opinions, something not always possible with standard sportsbook wagers. This can create discrepancies in the implied probabilities.

Prices for this market may diverge between Polymarket and Kalshi due to several factors. Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform has its own user base, trading rules, and fee structure, which can influence price discovery. Differences in liquidity – the volume of trading – can also lead to price discrepancies. Additionally, the platforms may attract different types of traders with varying levels of expertise or access to information regarding the Santos vs. Cruzeiro match. These factors contribute to the independent price formation observed across the two venues, even though they track the same underlying event.