TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Santos FC vs CA Mineiro?

Volume:
$1,336,360

Santos

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 10, 2026

Closed: Sep 9, 8:03 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Santos

View
100%
57%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$442,280
N/A
N/A
$248,235
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Santos FC

100%
59%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$312,396
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

CA Mineiro

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287,555
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Atletico Mineiro

0%
27%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$179,685
N/A
N/A
$129,418
Settled
No
kalshi

Tie

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$104,625
N/A
N/A
$61,914
Settled
No
polymarket

Draw (Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro)

0%
30%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,820
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks the outcome of the Santos FC versus CA Mineiro soccer match in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana tournament, scheduled for September 9, 2026. Currently, the consensus probability of Santos FC winning is 98.8%, with a 1.0% probability of a draw, as aggregated from Kalshi and Polymarket. The match result as reported on https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/ will serve as the resolution source. Keep an eye on the official CONMEBOL schedule as the September 9, 2026 match date approaches to confirm the game remains on its planned schedule.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Cancellation handling differs between platforms. Polymarket explicitly resolves canceled games to 'No', while Kalshi does not address this scenario.Hero tip: Consider the likelihood of game cancellation when trading. Polymarket offers defined risk in this scenario, while Kalshi does not.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. If the game is canceled, the market resolves to 'No'. Uses a hierarchy of official sources (CONMEBOL, Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus).
  • Kalshi: Markets resolve based on the outcome within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. No explicit handling for game cancellations is provided. Relies on the official result of the game.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game, scheduled for Wednesday, September 9, 2026 between Santos FC and CA Mineiro.

Kalshi

The event resolves based on the full-time result of the Santos vs Atletico Mineiro professional CONMEBOL Sudamericana soccer match scheduled for September 9, 2026. A 'Yes' outcome occurs for the respective market if the indicated team wins the match within 90 minutes plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. If the match ends in a tie after regulation and stoppage time, the 'Tie' market resolves to 'Yes.' Should the game be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price following predefined procedures. The event exclusively considers the result after normal time, with no account for extended play or tie-breaking methods.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the probability of various outcomes for the Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro match. Currently, the consensus view across these platforms indicates a roughly 53% chance of a specific outcome, with a total volume of $1,336,360. This represents the aggregated predictions of users trading on both venues, offering a combined perspective on the event’s potential results. The dashboard provides a dynamic view of market sentiment, reflecting real-time adjustments based on new information and trader activity. The 24-hour volume is $1,326,135.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their own models and incorporate a profit margin, while prediction markets allow participants to collectively assess probabilities. This market benefits from the diverse perspectives of traders who may have specialized knowledge or access to unique information. While sportsbooks are susceptible to biases from oddsmakers, prediction markets tend to reflect a more aggregate and potentially more accurate forecast. However, liquidity and volume can influence prediction market prices.