TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:11 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Santos FC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC score more goals than Associação Chapecoense de Futebol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Santos FC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score more goals than Santos FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming Brazil Série A game between Santos FC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC score more goals than Associação Chapecoense de Futebol in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Draw" if Santos FC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score the same number of goals in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol score more goals than Santos FC in the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Draw". This market refers only to the outcome within the second half of regular play plus second-half stoppage time. First-half goals, extra time, and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 24 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set odds to balance liability and extract margin, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. This market may show odds that differ meaningfully from traditional sportsbooks, particularly as new information emerges during the match. Comparing the two can reveal where professional bettors and retail traders disagree on second-half outcomes. Such gaps sometimes highlight value opportunities, though both venues ultimately reflect expectations about the same underlying event.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current odds reflect the aggregate belief of all traders participating in this venue. As traders place orders, the price adjusts continuously to balance supply and demand. Higher prices indicate stronger collective confidence in that outcome. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as volume increases, making it cheaper to trade in and out of positions during active periods.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the second-half result is verifiable from credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which team scores more goals during the second half only. Resolution occurs after official match data is confirmed, ensuring accuracy before final settlement. Traders should monitor the fixture schedule to plan their positions accordingly.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before resolution. Team news—injuries, substitutions, or tactical changes at halftime—often triggers sharp price moves as traders reassess second-half prospects. Halftime scoreline and momentum shifts influence expectations; a team trailing heavily may face longer odds despite strong second-half potential. Weather conditions, referee decisions, and red cards can reshape the competitive balance mid-match. Early goals in the second half typically accelerate price movement toward the leading team. Accumulating corner kicks, fouls, or possession patterns may signal which side is dominating, prompting traders to adjust positions accordingly.