TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 25, 10:11 PM EST
Polymarket
In the upcoming match between Santos FC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
In the upcoming match between Santos FC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for July 25, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET: This market will resolve to "Santos FC" if Santos FC are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. This market will resolve to "Associação Chapecoense de Futebol" if Associação Chapecoense de Futebol are the first to score within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. If neither team scores within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time, this market will resolve "Neither". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to "Neither". This market refers only to the outcome within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. The primary resolution source for this market is the official statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. However, if the governing body or event organizers have not published final match statistics within 2 hours after the event's conclusion, a consensus of credible reporting may be used instead. All markets will settle based on the official final result as recognized by the governing body or event organizers. Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution will not be accounted for in determining the outcome.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different participant bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets aggregate trader beliefs through continuous price discovery. In this market, prediction traders may price first-goal probabilities differently than traditional oddsmakers, especially if they have unique insights into team form, injury status, or tactical setup. Comparing the two can reveal where consensus differs and highlight potential value opportunities.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader bets into real-time probability estimates. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome, and the price of those shares reflects the collective forecast. As more capital flows toward one outcome, its price rises and the implied probability adjusts accordingly. This continuous mechanism ensures prices stay responsive to new information and trader sentiment right up until the match begins.
This market resolves around Jul 25, 2026, once the match concludes and the first goal is verified. The outcome is determined by which team scores first during regulation play, confirmed against credible public sources such as official match records or major sports data providers. Once the result is established and confirmed, the market settles automatically and traders receive payouts based on their positions. Early resolution is not typical unless the match is abandoned or officially cancelled.
Several factors can shift odds in this market before kickoff. Team news—such as injury announcements, lineup confirmations, or tactical changes—often triggers sharp moves. Weather conditions, venue factors, and recent form updates can also influence trader positioning. As match time approaches, late money and professional action typically increase volume and volatility. Live updates during pre-match coverage, such as official starting lineups or last-minute roster adjustments, frequently prompt repricing. Monitor sports news and team social media for announcements that could sway market sentiment.