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404,028

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Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol
polymarket
kalshi

What is the result of Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol?

Volume:
$1,670,017

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 26, 2026

Closed: Jul 25, 7:31 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$277,164
N/A
N/A
$121,695
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Santos FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$93,691
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Chapecoense

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$515,506
N/A
N/A
$180,265
Settled
No
kalshi

Santos

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$414,480
N/A
N/A
$192,056
Settled
No
polymarket

Santos FC

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$180,199
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Associação Chapecoense de Futebol

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$188,977
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Intro

This market tracks whether the Brazilian Série A soccer match between Santos FC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol, scheduled for July 25, 2026, will end in a draw. The aggregated consensus probability for a draw stands at 100.0%, drawing data from Polymarket and Kalshi, with resolution based on official CBF statistics and Campeonato Brasileiro Série A records. A key catalyst to monitor will be the official match result following the end of the match on July 25, 2026.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution logic: official CBF final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with consistent handling of postponements and cancellations.Primary resolution logic: Official CBF (Confederação Brasileira de Futebol) statistics and Campeonato Brasileiro Série A records; secondary source is consensus of credible reporting if official statistics unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion.

Core resolution logic:

  • Resolution is based on the official final score as recognized by CBF or event organizers
  • Only the outcome after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time counts; extra time and penalties are excluded
  • If official statistics are not published within 2 hours after match conclusion, credible reporting consensus may be used
  • Revisions to officially declared final scores made after market resolution are not accounted for in determining outcome

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets remain open until the game is completed and a final result is available.
  • Match Cancellation (No Makeup): If the match is canceled entirely with no makeup game scheduled, Polymarket resolves Santos win and Chapecoense win to No and draw to Yes; Kalshi resolves all three outcome contracts (Santos win, Chapecoense win, Tie) to Yes.
  • Official Score Revisions: Any revisions to the officially declared final score made after market resolution will not be used to alter the settlement outcome.
  • Data Source Timing: Primary resolution source is official CBF statistics. If unavailable within 2 hours of match conclusion, credible reporting consensus is acceptable.
Timing: Resolution occurs after the match concludes and official final statistics are published by CBF or event organizers, or within 2 hours after match conclusion if credible reporting consensus is required.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Saturday, July 25, 2026 between Santos FC and Associação Chapecoense de Futebol.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Santos vs Chapecoense Brasileiro Serie A match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Santos win, Chapecoense win, or tie—has a corresponding market that resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the game is cancelled or rescheduled to more than two weeks away, the market will resolve to a fair price in accordance with the rules.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market data across Polymarket and Kalshi for the Santos vs. Chapecoense match. Traders on both venues are pricing the outcome of this fixture, allowing you to monitor real-time odds and compare how each platform values the result. The cross-platform view helps you spot consensus or divergence in how the market perceives each team's chances. You can track volume trends and see which outcome is currently favored across the prediction market ecosystem for this Brazilian football matchup.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on crowd-sourced pricing, where traders buy and sell shares tied to outcomes. Unlike traditional sportsbooks, which set fixed odds and take a margin, prediction markets reflect real-time supply and demand. This often produces sharper, more dynamic odds as participants with genuine insight trade actively. Sportsbooks may lag behind market-moving information, while prediction markets typically adjust faster. For this match, comparing prediction market prices to your preferred sportsbook can reveal value opportunities or consensus shifts in how the event is being priced.

Key catalysts include team lineups, injury announcements, and recent form heading into the fixture. A star player's absence or return can shift odds significantly. Weather conditions, home-field advantage, and head-to-head history also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected news about either club—managerial changes, disciplinary issues, or league standings pressure—can trigger rapid repricing. As kickoff approaches, late-breaking information tends to drive the largest moves. Monitoring official team communications and sports news outlets will help you anticipate market shifts before they fully price in.