TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 12, 10:15 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether Santander will win its professional La Liga soccer match against Alaves. Currently, Kalshi gives Santander a 79.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 20.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the game originally scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official match result; extra time or penalty kicks will not be considered. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on September 13, 2026, as that will begin the window for determining the outcome of this market.
The market resolves based on the result of the Santander vs Alaves professional La Liga soccer match originally scheduled for September 13, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. Three distinct outcomes are possible: Santander win, Alaves win, or a tie. If the game ends in a tie after regulation time, the 'Tie' market resolves to Yes. Should the match be cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will be settled at a fair price, reflecting the updated probabilities and conditions at the time. The markets operate independently, each corresponding to one of the three possible results. Kalshi explicitly states it is not affiliated with the governing league, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the way traders price in probabilities and because of the lower fees on Kalshi. While sportsbooks may set their lines based on broader public betting trends and adjusted margins, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their own assessments of team performance, injuries, and other factors.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on the official match conclusion, and all participants can expect a clear, definitive answer at that point.
Injuries to key players, changes in coaching strategy, or recent form for either team can shift trader sentiment and move this market. Additionally, any significant developments in media reports, fan polls, or expert analysis close to the match date often cause rapid price adjustments on Kalshi as participants react to new information.