TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 10, 11:31 AM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of an Argentine Nacional B soccer match between Santa Fe and Los Andes. Participants can speculate on whether either team will secure a victory or if the game will conclude in a draw within the standard 90 minutes plus stoppage time.
The markets resolve based on the result of the Santa Fe vs Los Andes professional Argentine Nacional B soccer game scheduled for September 12, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty kicks. A 'Yes' outcome for the Santa Fe market occurs if Santa Fe wins the match within regulation time. Similarly, a 'Yes' outcome for the Los Andes market occurs if Los Andes wins within regulation time. The Tie market resolves to 'Yes' if the game ends in a tie after regulation time. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price as determined by the platform. The markets exclusively consider the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time and do not account for outcomes determined in extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation proceedings.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from those set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically establish initial lines based on statistical models and expert analysis, while this market allows anyone to participate and express their beliefs. This can lead to discrepancies, especially as new information emerges or public sentiment shifts. It’s common to see prediction markets incorporate a wider range of factors and react more quickly to unforeseen developments than traditional betting venues.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders set the odds by placing bids and asks, and the market price fluctuates based on supply and demand. Higher volume generally indicates greater confidence in the price reflecting the true probability of the event's outcome.
This market resolves around Sep 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Santa Fe vs Los Andes match as reported by a recognized sports authority. The platform will verify the result against these sources to determine which outcome will be considered the winner and to settle all outstanding contracts. Traders will then receive their payouts based on the final result.
Several factors could influence the price of this market before Sep 12, 2026. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in coaching staff, or significant shifts in team form could impact trader sentiment. Unexpected weather conditions or even pre-match analysis from reputable sports commentators could also play a role. Major upsets in related matches or broader league standings could indirectly affect the perceived probabilities, leading to adjustments in the market price. Keep an eye on these developments for potential trading opportunities.