TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 22, 8:33 PM EST
Kalshi
This market centers on the outcome of a professional soccer match between Santa Cruz FC PE and Caxias do Sul in the Brasileiro Serie C league. The result is determined solely by the final score after the standard 90 minutes of play plus any stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Participants can bet on either team winning or the match ending in a tie based on this regulation time result.
The event involves determining the winner of a Brasileiro Serie C soccer match between Santa Cruz FC PE and Caxias do Sul scheduled for August 22, 2026. The market resolves based exclusively on the result after 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time, penalty shootouts, or other post-regulation resolutions. Three possible outcomes are offered: a win for Santa Cruz FC PE, a win for Caxias do Sul, or a tie. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, the market will resolve to a fair price following Kalshi's standard procedures. The markets are independent of any official league affiliations, and all trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.
On Kalshi, this market reflects trader sentiment rather than traditional sportsbook lines. Prediction market odds often diverge from sportsbook odds due to different participant motivations and information sources. Traders may price in factors beyond standard sports analytics, such as team morale or weather conditions, which sportsbooks might not fully account for. The resulting probabilities can therefore appear more volatile or reflect niche insights. Monitoring both this market and sportsbook lines can offer complementary perspectives on expected outcomes and market sentiment shifts.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result, which will be compared against the market’s defined outcomes. No further interpretation is needed beyond what is publicly reported at that time.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 23, 2026. Key team announcements — such as injuries, coaching changes, or transfer rumors — may dramatically alter trader expectations. Performance in preceding matches, especially against common opponents, can also reshape outlooks. Broader factors like home-field advantage, fan support dynamics, and even referee assignments sometimes influence odds. As Aug 23, 2026 approaches, real-time updates from practice sessions or pre-game media appearances may trigger rapid adjustments in this market’s pricing.