TOTAL VOLUME:
$147.9b
24H VOL:
$213,626,991
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,816,443,416
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,855,805,452
492,440
Markets across
36,631
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,819
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Closed: Oct 16, 9:44 PM EST
Polymarket
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Arias/Carou and Miguel/Ribeiro in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arias/Carou' if the team of Arias/Carou advances against Miguel/Ribeiro. This market will resolve to 'Miguel/Ribeiro' if the team of Miguel/Ribeiro advances against Arias/Carou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market refers to the doubles tennis match between Arias/Carou and Miguel/Ribeiro in the Santa Cruz 2, originally scheduled for October 16, 2026 at 6:30PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Arias/Carou' if the team of Arias/Carou advances against Miguel/Ribeiro. This market will resolve to 'Miguel/Ribeiro' if the team of Miguel/Ribeiro advances against Arias/Carou. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or a winner has not been determined by October 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (14 days after the scheduled start), this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the team who advances. If the match ends in a walkover (a team withdraws before the start and the other advances automatically), this market will resolve to 50-50. The primary resolution source will be official information from the ATP Tour. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Often, prediction market odds reflect a different perspective than those found at traditional sportsbooks. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and incorporate a profit margin, while this market represents the collective wisdom of traders. If a significant discrepancy exists, it could indicate that prediction market participants believe the sportsbook is mispricing the probability of a particular outcome in the Santa Cruz doubles match. It’s common to see differences, especially before significant events or when new information emerges, as traders rapidly adjust their views.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous exchange where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in the outcome of the Santa Cruz doubles match. The price of a share directly corresponds to the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the price will fluctuate, reflecting the evolving consensus. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new data and adjust expectations.
This market resolves around Oct 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the Arias/Carou versus Miguel/Ribeiro doubles match in Santa Cruz 2. The platform will verify the result against reliable sources to determine which team won, and shares will be settled accordingly. Traders should monitor official tournament results to understand the basis for resolution.
Several factors could influence the price of shares in this market before Oct 23, 2026. Any news regarding player injuries, changes in team strategy, or even weather conditions impacting the match could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected results in other matches within the tournament could also affect perceptions of team form and confidence. Furthermore, large trading volume from informed participants could signal a change in expectations, potentially leading to significant price movements in the Santa Cruz doubles match.