TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Santa Clara Broncos vs. Portland Pilots (W)
kalshi
polymarket

Santa Clara Broncos vs. Portland Pilots (W)

Volume:
$108,044

Santa Clara

 - Kalshi

Santa Clara - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Feb 15, 2026

Santa Clara at Portland Winner?

100%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
kalshi

Trade on Kalshi

Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.At 100¢ buys you 100 shares | Odds: 100% Total Payout: $100 | Net Profit: $0 Multiplier: 1.00x | ROI: 0% | APY: N/A Illiquid market
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Santa Clara

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
-$425
$59,740
0%
0%
$33,065
N/A
polymarket

Santa Clara Broncos vs. Portland Pilots (W)

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
—
N/A
$240
0%
N/A
N/A
N/A
kalshi

Portland

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
$4,504
$48,064
0%
0%
$31,111
N/A
Total markets: 3

Description

This event group covers the women's college basketball game between Santa Clara Broncos and Portland Pilots scheduled for February 14, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The markets resolve based on the final game outcome, with specific handling for postponements and cancellations.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi's resolution logic is internally contradictory and unresolvable as written - both possible game outcomes (Santa Clara win or Portland win) are specified to resolve to Yes, leaving no path to No resolution. Polymarket uses a categorical outcome model (team name) that is incompatible with Kalshi's binary Yes/No framework.Hero tip: Do not assume these markets are equivalent. Kalshi's market appears to have a specification error where both outcomes map to Yes. Polymarket's market is standard categorical. Clarify the actual Kalshi resolution rules with the platform before trading, as the current language suggests the market cannot resolve to No under any game outcome.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: Binary Yes/No market where both Santa Clara win and Portland win resolve to Yes. This creates a logical impossibility - there is no specified path to a No resolution. Quote: 'If Santa Clara wins...resolves to Yes. If Portland wins...resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: Categorical market resolving to the name of the winning team (Santa Clara Broncos or Portland Pilots). Includes explicit handling for postponement (market stays open) and cancellation (50-50 split). Quote: 'If the Santa Clara Broncos win, the market will resolve to Santa Clara Broncos. If the Portland Pilots win, the market will resolve to Portland Pilots.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.