TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.3b
24H VOL:
$158,613,015
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,206,641,323
499,459
Markets across
13,676
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,789
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
Santa Clara Broncos vs. California Golden Bears (W)
Volume:
$368,065
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This market resolves based on the outcome of the women's college basketball game between Santa Clara Broncos and California Golden Bears scheduled for March 19, 2026. The winner of the game determines the market resolution, with the final score including any overtime periods as the authoritative result.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Divergence Detected
Issue:
Kalshi resolves YES for both possible outcomes (Santa Clara win OR California win), creating a logical contradiction where the market cannot resolve NO. Polymarket correctly resolves to one of two mutually exclusive outcomes (Santa Clara Broncos or California Golden Bears), making it the only resolvable market in this group.Hero Tip:
Avoid betting on Kalshi's version of this market — it is logically broken and will resolve YES regardless of the game result, making it unsuitable for price discovery. Polymarket is the only reliable venue for this matchup.Critical Divergence Points:
- Kalshi: Outlier: Resolves YES if Santa Clara wins AND YES if California wins, violating binary logic. The market states 'If Santa Clara wins...then the market resolves to Yes' and 'If California wins...then the market resolves to Yes,' leaving no outcome that resolves to NO.
- Polymarket: Distinct stance: Resolves to exactly one of two mutually exclusive outcomes — 'Santa Clara Broncos' if Santa Clara wins, or 'California Golden Bears' if California wins. Includes cancellation clause (50-50 split if game is canceled with no make-up) and postponement handling.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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