TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Sports
Sandro Tonali: Next Club
kalshi

Sandro Tonali: Next Club

Volume:
$2,773

Tottenham

 - Kalshi

Tottenham - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 6, 2026

Closed: Jul 6, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tottenham

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,464
N/A
N/A
$1,968
2d 18h 53m
Yes
kalshi

Manchester City

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$211
N/A
N/A
$206
2d 18h 53m
No
kalshi

Real Madrid

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
$58
2d 18h 53m
No
kalshi

Chelsea

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
2d 18h 53m
No
kalshi

Arsenal

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
$20
2d 18h 53m
No
kalshi

Atletico

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 53m
No
kalshi

Manchester United

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 53m
No
kalshi

Liverpool

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 53m
No
kalshi

PSG

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 53m
No
kalshi

Bayern Munich

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 53m
No
kalshi

Barcelona

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 53m
No
kalshi

Newcastle

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
2d 18h 53m
No
Total markets: 12

Description

This event tracks which club Sandro Tonali will join next as his primary employer before October 2, 2026. The resolution depends on official announcements of his transfer, loan, contract extension, or pre-contract agreements with one of the specified clubs.

Kalshi

Sandro Tonali's next club is determined by which team he officially joins before October 2, 2026, through any of the following mechanisms: signing a permanent contract via transfer fee or as a free agent, being loaned to a club (which counts as that club being his next destination), re-signing or extending an existing contract if already at a club, or having an official pre-contract or future-dated transfer agreement announced. If Tonali signs with one club and is immediately loaned elsewhere, the signing club resolves to Yes and all others resolve to No. If his current contract expires without him signing with any club, all markets resolve to No. Only one club can be his next destination; exactly one market will resolve to Yes based on which club he officially joins or commits to joining.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the Tonali next club market displays real-time odds and historical price movements tracking where midfielder Sandro Tonali will play next. The interface shows current probabilities for each potential destination, 24-hour trading volume, and a price chart reflecting how trader sentiment has shifted over time. This market aggregates the collective forecast of active traders on the platform, updating continuously as new information emerges about the player's transfer prospects and negotiations with clubs.

Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they serve different purposes and audiences. Sportsbooks set odds primarily to balance action and manage risk, while prediction markets like this one reflect genuine trader conviction about where Tonali will end up next. Prediction markets typically incorporate breaking news and insider sentiment faster than traditional sportsbooks adjust their lines. However, sportsbooks may offer tighter odds due to higher liquidity and professional market-making, whereas this market's odds depend entirely on the collective judgment of participating traders.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing each potential club outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share reflects the probability traders assign to that destination, with prices ranging from near-zero to near-100 cents. As new trades execute, prices adjust in real time to reflect updated expectations. The spread between bid and ask prices tightens as more traders participate, and the most-traded outcomes typically show the deepest liquidity and narrowest spreads.

This market resolves around Oct 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Tonali's next club is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution hinges on an official announcement or credible media confirmation of which club he has joined. The market will settle to the winning outcome once the transfer is publicly confirmed, and all other outcomes will be marked false. Early resolution is possible if an announcement occurs before the end date.

Major catalysts include official club statements, credible transfer rumors from established sports journalists, and confirmed negotiations between Tonali and potential suitors. Contract developments, managerial changes at interested clubs, and Champions League qualification outcomes can shift demand for the player. Injury updates or performance changes during the current season may also influence trader expectations. Media reports of completed medical examinations or agreed-upon terms typically trigger sharp price movements, as do statements from Tonali's agent or the clubs involved in talks.