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Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene?

Volume:
$580,585

Tie

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 12, 2026

Closed: Jul 12, 1:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Tie

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$109,613
N/A
N/A
$54,360
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Draw (Sandefjord Fotball vs. Hamarkameratene)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31,530
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Sandefjord

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$266,083
N/A
N/A
$109,454
Settled
No
polymarket

Sandefjord Fotball

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$61,519
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

HamKam

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$96,703
N/A
N/A
$48,243
Settled
No
polymarket

Hamarkameratene

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 6

Description

This event group covers a Norwegian Eliteserien soccer match between Sandefjord Fotball and Hamarkameratene scheduled for July 12, 2026. Three markets track the outcome: whether Sandefjord wins, whether Hamarkameratene wins, and whether the match ends in a draw. All markets resolve based on the result after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Polymarket contains internal logical inconsistency between draw and win market cancellation rules. Kalshi's three markets are structured as mutually exclusive outcomes but each individually resolves YES, creating a logical impossibility unless interpreted as a combined 'game occurs' market.Hero tip: For trading purposes: Polymarket's draw market and win markets should not be arbitraged against each other on cancellation scenarios due to conflicting rules. Kalshi's structure suggests treating the three markets as a single 'game will be played' indicator rather than three independent outcome markets. Request official clarification from both platforms before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Three separate binary markets: (1) Draw resolves YES if match ends tied OR canceled with no make-up; (2) Sandefjord win resolves YES only if Sandefjord wins, NO if canceled; (3) Hamarkameratene win resolves YES only if Hamarkameratene wins, NO if canceled. Key quote: 'If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve to Yes' (draw) vs 'this market will resolve No' (win markets).
  • Kalshi: Three markets each with identical resolution logic: Market 1 resolves YES if Sandefjord wins; Market 2 resolves YES if HamKam wins; Market 3 resolves YES if Tie occurs. No cancellation clause provided. Logical issue: all three markets cannot simultaneously resolve YES, yet each is independently structured as a YES/NO binary. Key quote: 'If Sandefjord wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If HamKam wins...then the market resolves to Yes. If Tie is the result...then the market resolves to Yes.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This event is for the upcoming Norway Eliteserien game, scheduled for Sunday, July 12, 2026 between Sandefjord Fotball and Hamarkameratene.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the final result of the Sandefjord vs HamKam Eliteserien match after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration of extra time or penalties. Each outcome—Sandefjord win, HamKam win, or tie—resolves to Yes if that result occurs. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled more than two weeks from the original July 12, 2026 date, the market resolves to a fair price in accordance with standard procedures.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard aggregates prediction market prices for the Sandefjord vs. Hamarkameratene match across Polymarket and Kalshi, giving you a real-time consensus view of how traders are pricing the outcome. Both platforms host identical or near-identical contracts on the same fixture, allowing you to compare odds and spot pricing inefficiencies. The cross-platform snapshot shows current implied probabilities and recent trading activity, helping you identify where the market sees value and which platform offers the best terms for your view.

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi operate on peer-to-peer trading rather than fixed sportsbook lines. Traders set prices by buying and selling shares, which means odds reflect live consensus rather than a bookmaker's margin. Sportsbooks typically build in a 4–5% edge and adjust lines to balance liability; prediction markets often have tighter spreads and move faster in response to new information. For this fixture, comparing market prices to major sportsbooks can reveal which side the crowd favors and whether sharp money is flowing in a particular direction.

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Differences arise from distinct user bases, liquidity pools, and fee structures on each platform. Polymarket may attract different trader demographics or have deeper liquidity on one outcome, while Kalshi's contract design or user interface might appeal to a separate cohort. Regional access, platform reputation, and promotional activity also influence where volume concentrates. These gaps create arbitrage opportunities: if one platform prices Hamarkameratene's chances significantly higher, sophisticated traders can exploit the spread by buying low on one venue and selling high on the other.

Key injuries, lineup announcements, and recent form swings typically drive the largest price moves in football markets. Unexpected managerial changes, disciplinary suspensions, or weather conditions affecting travel can also shift odds sharply. Betting syndicates and sharp money often move markets hours before kickoff as they deploy larger positions. Media coverage, fan sentiment, and rival team results in the same league may influence trader conviction. Monitor team social media, official injury reports, and league news closely—even minor roster updates can trigger significant repricing across both platforms.