TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
San Marino vs. Finland - More Markets
kalshi
polymarket

What is the result of San Marino vs. Finland?

Volume:
$422,644

Over 4.5 goals scored

all

2 markets

Kalshi

Polymarket

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 1:38 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Over 4.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$64,411
N/A
N/A
$45,728
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 4.5

View
100%
78%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,723
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Finland (-2.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$54,910
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 5.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$47,976
N/A
N/A
$26,168
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 5.5

View
100%
90%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,461
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 3.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$31,510
N/A
N/A
$20,967
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 3.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$14,784
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Finland (-4.5)

View
100%
87%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$25,384
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 6.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$15,879
N/A
N/A
$9,405
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 6.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 1.5 goals scored

View
100%
15%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,737
N/A
N/A
$12,067
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 1.5

View
100%
16%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,277
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 2.5 goals scored

View
100%
35%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11,640
N/A
N/A
$10,358
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 2.5

View
100%
37%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,516
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Finland (-1.5)

View
100%
28%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,382
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 1.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$6,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Over 0.5 goals scored

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,731
N/A
N/A
$2,731
Settled
Yes
polymarket

O/U 0.5

View
100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,133
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 2.5

View
100%
82%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Finland (-3.5)

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,113
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Finland 1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,525
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Finland O/U 2.5

View
100%
44%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,375
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Finland O/U 0.5

View
100%
5%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$825
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Finland O/U 3.5

View
100%
66%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$636
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

1st Half O/U 0.5

View
100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$274
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 25 of 70

Description

This group contains markets related to the UEFA Nations League match between San Marino and Finland. Markets include spreads, over/under goals, and both teams to score, covering both the full match and first/second halves. The markets focus on predicting the final score and goal totals.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Resolution timing and source preference differ between platforms. Polymarket allows for fallback sources and a 24-hour data availability window, while Kalshi relies solely on official statistics immediately after the match.Hero tip: Focus on markets where the final score is the primary determinant, as the core logic is consistent. Be cautious of markets relying on timely data publication, as Polymarket's fallback sources could introduce discrepancies.

Critical divergence points:

  • Polymarket: Resolves based on official statistics from uefa.com, with fallback sources (Flashscore, Sofascore, consensus) if official data isn't available within 2 hours. Allows for a 24-hour resolution window if data is delayed.
  • Kalshi: Resolves based on official statistics after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. No fallback sources or specified data availability window are mentioned.
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

More markets for the UEFA Nations League game, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00 PM ET.

Kalshi

The event evaluates multiple thresholds for total goals scored in the San Marino vs Finland UEFA Nations League match scheduled for September 26, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if the combined goals from both teams exceed the specified threshold—ranging from 0.5 to 5.5 goals—within the 90 minutes of regular play plus any stoppage time added by the referee. Extra time and penalty shootout goals are explicitly excluded from all calculations. All markets operate independently, meaning each threshold is assessed separately based on the final goal count after regular time. Kalshi clarifies that it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all associated trademarks remain the property of their respective owners.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket and Kalshi, this dashboard tracks the consensus view on the outcome of the San Marino vs. Finland match. Currently, the combined volume across both platforms is $422,644, with $412,090 traded in the last 24 hours. This indicates significant interest in predicting the result of this particular contest. The dashboard aggregates data from both venues to provide a comprehensive overview of market sentiment. Polymarket currently favors a specific outcome, while Kalshi presents a slightly different perspective, reflecting the dynamic nature of prediction markets. This allows for a nuanced understanding of expectations surrounding the game.

Prediction market odds, like those found on Polymarket and Kalshi, often differ from traditional sportsbook odds due to the wisdom of the crowd. Sportsbooks set lines based on their internal models and aim to balance action on both sides, while prediction markets reflect the aggregated beliefs of many individual traders. This market, for example, may show a different probability for a particular outcome than a sportsbook. These differences can arise from varying levels of information, differing risk assessments, and the incentive structure of each venue. Prediction markets can sometimes be more accurate, especially when there is strong public interest and active trading volume.