TOTAL VOLUME:
$54.4b
24H VOL:
$216,099,358
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,189,677,720
500,754
Markets across
13,672
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
1,801
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
4
Polymarket:
51%
VS.
Kalshi:
49%
San Marino vs. Andorra
Volume:
$293,698
Outcome
Chance %
Price
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
Trade
Description
This event is for the upcoming FIFA International Friendlies game, scheduled for Tuesday, March 31, 2026 between San Marino and Andorra.
PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)
Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)
Kalshi and Polymarket both resolve based on the official match outcome (win, loss, or draw) within 90 minutes plus stoppage time on March 31, 2026, using FIFA or official governing body statistics as the primary source.
Primary resolution logic:
Official FIFA statistics and governing body match recordsCore resolution logic:
- Market resolves based on the final score after 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time (no extra time or penalties).
- Three mutually exclusive outcomes are possible: San Marino wins, Andorra wins, or the match ends in a draw.
- Exactly one outcome will occur; each platform's markets collectively cover all three possibilities.
- If the match is postponed, markets remain open until completion.
- If the match is canceled with no make-up game, Polymarket draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO; Kalshi markets would not resolve under this scenario as all three conditions become impossible.
Edge cases & Clarifications:
- Match Cancellation: If the match is canceled entirely with no make-up game, Polymarket's draw market resolves YES and win markets resolve NO. Kalshi's three markets would face logical impossibility since all three conditions (tie, San Marino win, Andorra win) cannot occur.
- Match Postponement: If the match is postponed, all markets on both platforms remain open and unresolved until the match is completed on its rescheduled date.
- Extra Time or Penalties: Both platforms explicitly exclude extra time and penalties from resolution scope; only the 90 minutes plus stoppage time outcome determines resolution.
Timing:
Resolution occurs upon official publication of final match statistics by FIFA or the governing body within 2 hours after match conclusion, or by consensus of credible reporting if official statistics are delayed beyond 2 hours.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.
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