TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 1, 1:01 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets assess how many goals each team will score in an upcoming professional soccer match. The outcomes depend on the final tally of goals each team achieves within regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts. Own goals are counted toward the team that concedes them.
All markets resolve based on the number of goals scored by each team in the San Luis vs Tijuana de Caliente professional Liga MX soccer match scheduled for July 31, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. Extra time and penalty shootout results are excluded from consideration. Each market has a specific threshold for goals: San Luis over 0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals, and Tijuana de Caliente over 0.5, 1.5, or 2.5 goals. If a team exceeds its respective threshold, the corresponding market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Own goals count toward the team awarded the goal. The match must be officially completed within the defined timeframe for the markets to resolve; any unplayed or abandoned matches will result in void outcomes.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to the unique dynamics of crowd-sourced forecasting. While sportsbooks set their lines based on proprietary models and risk management, prediction markets let participants bet directly on their beliefs. This can lead to sharper or more volatile pricing, especially as new information emerges. Traders should compare both sources to identify potential value or divergence in expectations.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the price through their buying and selling activity. The current implied probability reflects the aggregate view of all participants about the likely total goals or points in the match. Liquidity and volume influence how efficiently the market prices in new information, with higher trading volumes typically leading to tighter spreads and more stable odds.
This market resolves around Aug 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final score or official statistics from the match will determine whether the total meets the conditions defined in this market. Traders can track confirmed results through trusted sports news outlets or official league announcements.
Key signals that could shift this market include injury updates to star players, changes in team strategies, weather conditions affecting gameplay, and recent form or performance trends. Major news such as coaching changes or disciplinary actions may also influence trader sentiment. As the match approaches, any shift in pre-game betting lines or analyst forecasts can cause rapid movement in market odds.