TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:57 PM EST
Kalshi
This market focuses on the outcome of a professional soccer match between San Lorenzo and Club Guarani, specifically evaluating different margins of victory for either team. The resolution depends on the goal difference at the end of regular time, excluding extra time or penalty shootouts.
The event consists of four separate outcome markets for the San Lorenzo vs Club Guarani professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for July 30, 2026. Each market resolves based on the goal differential between the two teams after 90 minutes of regular play, including stoppage time but excluding extra time or penalty phases. Specifically, one market resolves if San Lorenzo wins by more than 2.5 goals, another if San Lorenzo wins by more than 1.5 goals, a third if Club Guarani wins by more than 1.5 goals, and the final if Club Guarani wins by more than 2.5 goals. All markets are independent and resolve solely based on the final score at the conclusion of regular time. Kalshi explicitly states it holds no official affiliation with the governing league, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Prediction market odds in this market often differ from traditional sportsbook lines due to unique trader dynamics and risk assessments. While sportsbooks may set lines based on broader public betting trends and sharp analyses, prediction market odds reflect the aggregated expectations of informed participants, potentially offering alternative insights into the spread's likely outcome.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result is determined by the official match result and the spread margin, which will be compared against the market's settled criteria at that time.
In the coming weeks, key signals like team performance trends, player injuries, and coaching strategies could shift expectations and move this market. As the match date approaches, updated odds may reflect fresh analysis from experts and fans. Media coverage highlighting pivotal players or tactical changes might also influence trader behavior. All these dynamics will be reflected in real-time updates on Kalshi until the outcome is confirmed around Jul 30, 2026.