TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 28, 6:01 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether San Lorenzo will win its professional APF Division de Honor soccer game against CD Recoleta. Currently, Kalshi gives San Lorenzo a 77.0% probability of winning, while a tie is priced at 11.0%. The market resolves based on the result of the match originally scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, as reported by the official match result. Keep an eye on the kickoff of the match on September 28, 2026, as that will begin the window for determining the outcome and subsequent market resolution.
The event resolves based on the full-time result of the San Lorenzo vs CD Recoleta professional APF Division de Honor soccer match scheduled for September 28, 2026, after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. A win for either team resolves the respective market to Yes, while a tied result resolves the Tie market to Yes. If the match is cancelled or rescheduled to more than 48 hours beyond the original date, all markets will resolve to a fair price. Extra time and penalty shootouts are excluded from the resolution criteria, meaning only the result standing after regular time and stoppage minutes determines the outcome.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, which can differ from the odds set by sportsbooks. Sportsbooks typically set their lines to balance action and ensure profitability, while this market is driven purely by participants' beliefs about the outcome. Often, you'll find that prediction markets are more accurate than traditional forecasts, especially when there's a lot of information available. However, sportsbooks may offer different types of wagers not available in this market, and vice versa. It's always wise to compare both to inform your decisions.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as perceived by the market participants. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly. This creates a dynamic and real-time assessment of the event's potential results. The goal is to find discrepancies between your own assessment and the market's, allowing you to potentially profit from the difference.
This market resolves around Sep 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result of the San Lorenzo vs CD Recoleta match, as reported by a recognized sporting authority. The platform will verify the final score and determine the winning outcome based on this information. Traders holding contracts corresponding to the correct outcome will be paid out according to the final market price at resolution. It’s important to monitor the event’s progress leading up to this date.
Several factors could influence the price movement of this market. Any news regarding team injuries, changes in player lineups, or even weather conditions could shift trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about coaching strategies or internal team dynamics might also play a role. Furthermore, public perception and media coverage leading up to the match can impact trading activity. Major upsets in related matches or shifts in overall team performance could also contribute to price fluctuations. Monitoring these signals will be key to understanding how this market evolves.