TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 26, 12:37 AM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks whether over 1.5 goals will be scored in the San Jose vs Los Angeles Galaxy MLS soccer match on Kalshi, with the current probability set at 99.0% according to the resolution source, which depends on the total goals scored after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time or penalties. The outcome will be determined by the official match result. Watch for the match conclusion on July 25, 2026, as this is the key event that will settle the market based on the final goal count.
Resolution is based on the total combined goals scored by both teams during the San Jose vs Los Angeles Galaxy professional MLS soccer game originally scheduled for July 25, 2026, measured after 90 minutes plus stoppage time (excluding extra time and penalties). The event includes multiple threshold outcomes at 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5, and 5.5 goals. Each outcome resolves to Yes if the total goals exceed its respective threshold, and No otherwise. All goal counts are final as recorded at the conclusion of regulation play.
Prediction market odds and sportsbook odds often diverge because they reflect different trader bases and incentive structures. Sportsbooks set lines to balance action and lock in profit margins, while prediction markets like this one aggregate beliefs from thousands of independent traders with real money at stake. This market may price the outcome differently than traditional sportsbooks, especially as new information emerges closer to kickoff. Comparing the two can reveal where the crowd's conviction differs most sharply from professional oddsmakers.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders submit buy and sell orders at their chosen price points. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The spread between the highest bid and lowest ask reflects the current uncertainty around total goals. As more traders participate, the bid-ask spread typically tightens and prices converge toward consensus. Kalshi's transparent pricing model allows you to see exactly where other traders stand and execute at market or place limit orders to wait for your target price.
This market resolves around Jul 26, 2026, once the San Jose versus Los Angeles match concludes and the final goal tally is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by the total number of goals scored by both teams combined during regulation time. No additional criteria or special conditions apply—only the official final score matters. Resolution typically occurs within hours of the final whistle, allowing traders to see results confirmed and positions settled promptly.
Key catalysts include team news such as player injuries, lineup announcements, or tactical shifts that affect offensive or defensive capability. Weather conditions on match day can influence goal-scoring pace and ball control. Recent form, head-to-head history, and any last-minute roster changes will likely trigger price swings as traders reassess the probability of high or low scoring. Closer to kickoff, early team sheets and pre-match commentary often spark sharp moves as the market incorporates fresh information and locks in final positioning.