TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 19, 9:45 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the performance of two Major League Soccer teams in a head-to-head match, focusing on the margin of victory. It evaluates whether the winning team achieves a decisive lead over their opponent by specific goal differences. The outcome depends purely on the final score after regular time, excluding any extra periods or penalty shootouts.
The event evaluates different margin-of-victory scenarios across four distinct conditions in a single professional MLS soccer match between San Jose and Los Angeles F, scheduled for September 19, 2026. All resolutions are determined solely by the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with no consideration for extra time or penalty kicks. If San Jose wins by more than 2.5 goals, the first market resolves positively. If San Jose wins by more than 1.5 goals (but not exceeding 2.5), the second market resolves positively. Conversely, if Los Angeles F secures a victory by more than 1.5 goals, the third market resolves positively. Finally, if Los Angeles F wins by more than 2.5 goals, the fourth market resolves positively. Each rule operates independently, and Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official affiliation with the league or teams involved, emphasizing that all trademarks and branding belong to their respective owners.
Prediction market odds often reflect the collective wisdom of a diverse group of traders, potentially differing from sportsbook odds which are initially set by professional oddsmakers. Sportsbooks may incorporate factors like public betting percentages and risk management into their lines, while this market relies on individuals expressing their beliefs about the likely outcome. It is common to see discrepancies, especially before significant events or breaking news. Examining these differences can be insightful, as they reveal where the crowd and the experts diverge in their assessments of the San Jose vs Los Angeles spread.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell contracts representing different outcomes of the San Jose vs Los Angeles spread. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring, as determined by supply and demand. As more people buy contracts predicting a specific result, the price increases, and vice versa. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows the market to quickly incorporate new information and adjust its predictions accordingly, providing a real-time assessment of the event's potential results.
This market resolves around Sep 20, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the final point spread of the San Jose vs Los Angeles game is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official result declared by the governing sports league. Traders who correctly predicted the spread will receive a payout based on the contract price at resolution. It's important to monitor news sources leading up to Sep 20, 2026 to stay informed about any factors that could influence the final result and the market’s settlement.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Sep 20, 2026. Any news regarding injuries to key players on either the San Jose or Los Angeles teams would likely have a substantial impact. Changes in coaching strategies, team performance in recent games, or even weather conditions could also influence trader sentiment. Unexpected announcements about player availability or significant shifts in public opinion, as reflected in sports news and analysis, are all potential catalysts for price movement in this market. Monitoring these factors will be crucial for anyone looking to trade the San Jose vs Los Angeles spread.